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- Hey Ben: Questions about tax amnesty
- US Rep. John Murtha, June 17, 1932 – February 8, 2010
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- A giant toxic monster is coming your way OR no rigs before regs!
A Response to Michael Nutter
A few weeks ago, I wrote an op-ed for the Philadelphia Citypaper that criticized the legislative record of City Councilman Michael Nutter. Many of the issues that I discussed in the piece have been discussed a great deal on this site. In fact, many of the arguments were really born from some of the lengthy threads on the topic.
Councilman Nutter responded to my piece in this week’s issue of the Citypaper. I would have responded earlier, but I have been in the middle of moving back to school for my senior year. While Nutter’s response was well-written and focused on policy, it should fundamentally flawed approach to fiscal policy and economic development. Click “Read More” to find out why.
Councilman Nutter seems to agree that there is a need to attract high-wage jobs to Philadelphia. He believes that a major reduction of the Business Privilege Tax and elimination of the gross receipts tax is the best way to accomplish this goal. Accord to Nutter, Philadelphia’s tax code is the largest barrier to the creation of good jobs in our city. Nutter also criticizes me for fostering a “false debate about small business vs. big business.”
I agree that there is a need to reform the tax code. However, I believe that Nutter’s outlook on economic policy is fundamentally flawed. There is absolutely no substantive proof that his proposed tax cuts will create new jobs. As I argued in my Citypaper piece, business leaders look at a variety of issues—such as healthcare, public transit, crime, and education—when making decisions about where a business will be located.
A strong public sector is vital for Philadelphia’s economic development. To improve our schools, public transit, and safety, the city will have to spend tax revenue. If we drastically reduce taxes there will not be enough money to make the investments our city so dearly needs. Michael Nutter’s argument that tax cuts will create jobs is little more than wishful thinking.
Finally, I want to respond to his accusation that I’m a basher of big business. It’s ridiculous. I am in favor of creating good jobs with high wages. I don’t care about the size of the business. In fact, strong investment in the public sector would be hugely beneficial for larger companies. I’ve never claimed that the BPT repeal is a sweetheart deal for big corporations.


I want to add something to th
I want to add something to this tax policy discussion. I know I have said it time and time again, but I think it's important. I think BOTH Ben and Nutter are correct here. I do think lower business taxes will be helpful. At the same time, I also think that there are other issues employers look at when locating or relocating, e.g. public transit. I think a city is a package and should be competitive on every level.
That being said, I really do not know how practical a tax cut is, and I do not think anyone does. I think the city is in prime position for an economic/efficiency review. We need to know what comes in and if we are collecting it all. I have read about other cities and states who simply are not collecting all their taxes because they are just not aggressive enough. Once we know what is coming in, we then need to figure out what we spend. Thus we need to review salaries, job positions, purchasing and procurement, etc. I know for a fact the procurement system is flawed and cumbersome.
Only then can we truly determine if we can afford to reduce taxes at all, not just to the level that Nutter is talking about. Problem is no one is talking about a performance review. Why? Too many entrenched interests in City Hall and too much patronage. Nutter and Saidel are probably the only candidates who could credibly discuss such a review, based on their backgrounds. I hope they do.
Nice piece Ben.
I want to add something to th
I want to add something to this tax policy discussion. I know I have said it time and time again, but I think it's important. I think BOTH Ben and Nutter are correct here. I do think lower business taxes will be helpful. At the same time, I also think that there are other issues employers look at when locating or relocating, e.g. public transit. I think a city is a package and should be competitive on every level.
That being said, I really do not know how practical a tax cut is, and I do not think anyone does. I think the city is in prime position for an economic/efficiency review. We need to know what comes in and if we are collecting it all. I have read about other cities and states who simply are not collecting all their taxes because they are just not aggressive enough. Once we know what is coming in, we then need to figure out what we spend. Thus we need to review salaries, job positions, purchasing and procurement, etc. I know for a fact the procurement system is flawed and cumbersome.
Only then can we truly determine if we can afford to reduce taxes at all, not just to the level that Nutter is talking about. Problem is no one is talking about a performance review. Why? Too many entrenched interests in City Hall and too much patronage. Nutter and Saidel are probably the only candidates who could credibly discuss such a review, based on their backgrounds. I hope they do.
Nice piece Ben.
good points, Ben
I thought your original Op/Ed piece was very well written and thoughtful.
I was dissapointed at Michael's response. Not because I dissagree with some of the underlying principles of his platform, but because I find the platform somewhat limited in scope.
I've talked to him about this issue and know him rather well. I am extremely fond of him on a personal level, but I do wish he (and any other candidate running for Mayor) would take a more holistic approach when building a plan to create jobs and make our city competitive in the regional (if not the national and global) economy.
Companies will be more likely to relocate here if our streets are safe for their employees to walk at night, if our transportation system allows for easy commutes, if our housing stock is good and varied, if city services are QUALITY customer services, if their employees can send their kids to great public schools, if there are social, civic, recreational and cultural attractions for their employees to take advantage of AND (in my opinion) if the tax structure were more fair -- and that does mean (to me) the elimination of the GROSS receipts tax for that business and responsible reductions in the tax burden of middle/working class wage earners and home owners.
It is beyond me why more mayoral candidiates just can't SAY that it's a comprehensive formula of a variety of things that will create jobs-- not just tax cuts.
And one other, but very important point -- small businesses in Philadelphia are reposnsible for a majority of the jobs in Philadelphia.
I come from a small busness backgroud. I was born, raised and trained in small business. My version of bold tax reform drastically cuts the business privledge tax (on gross and net receipts) for small businesses, as they are defined by national standards.
Comcast and Verizon and Blue Cross have a ton of people in their corner in City Hall and in Harrisburg and SHOULD pay full net receipts tax.
But what about the Shoe Barrel or Fante's or Blendo? They need help much more than those huge corproations. They're the people who keep this city running and the economy afloat -- not Susanne Roberts and her son.
I really hope all mayoral candidates will see a legitimate reason to differentiate between the two.
Unfortuantely, we've got a cadre of trickle-down democrats in this town who think all we have to do is cut taxes, and we become the land of milk and honey. That scheme doesn't work. It hasn't worked in 30 years. Why they think it will work now is beyond me. I certainly haven't forgotten the Bush recession of 1990-1992 and neither should they.
The dynamic gives voters a clear choice, though: reactionary policies versus progressive policies.
Still on Ben's side
Nutter left me totally unmoved in his piece. He should have whipped out some great example of a city that taxes helped turn around or something. There was not a single new soundbyte in there. No zingers.
Still on your side, Ben. We need the city to function again. Business can't get stuff out of town if the bridges over the Schuykill go out, you know?
---
BradyDale OnLine
Nutter is right
Ben, I would recommend you read the results of the Philadelphia Tax Reform Commission's 2003 survey of the BPT and wage tax (if you have not done so already):
http://www.philadelphiataxreform.org/
You argue that Nutter has "absolutely no substantive proof that his proposed tax cuts will create new jobs." In this report you will find your substantive proof.
The theory is that cutting those taxes will bring in enough new jobs to make up for the lost revenue. It might take a couple years, but is there ever a better time to do this? We have a surplus of over $200 million this year.
Center City's streets are safe and will be even with cuts in the BPT and wage tax. I would argue that businesses are not deterred by our poor school system since their employees would have plenty of opportunities to find quality education in the suburbs - where a large portion of them will choose to live anyway.
Business is about economics, and making it more profitable to locate INSIDE the city will DEFINITELY bring more companies and jobs here. Southeastern PA is already an excellent region to live and work. The idea is to draw employment inside the city limits.
myopic arguments, Metro
Center City's streets are safe and will be even with cuts in the BPT and wage tax.
Center City isn't enough. Surrounding neighborhoods have to be safe, not only to make getting to and from CC safe, but to allow businesses a range of places to consider locating -- if everything has to be downtown, rents will become prohibitive in no time, and large swaths of the city will still be underserved.
I would argue that businesses are not deterred by our poor school system since their employees would have plenty of opportunities to find quality education in the suburbs - where a large portion of them will choose to live anyway.
Again, a poor argument. You are presuming that somebody moves to Philadelphia for the new job, and thus locates in a premier school district (or takes advantage of private schools). What businesses look for is a pool of potential employees that is *deep* -- where they can imagine always having well-educated folks not only at the plummy executive level, but also in their accounting offices, answering their phones, and working their delivery bays. Those jobs need a reliable and trained/educated workforce, but they don't necessarily pay wages that allow employees to move to tony neighborhoods; instead, the system-wide level of education (and safety) have to be high enough that there will be appropriate candidates in the general region of the business. Right now, Philadelphia is failing so many of its neighborhoods that there aren't many places that a business could set itself down and start taking job applications.
You gotta stop looking through the narrow lens of elite businesses and employees, and think about the mom-n-pop corner stores that drive most of America's economy. They can't open where store or employee safety is in question, or where the workforce isn't prepared to staff their needs. That means a lot of work to be done throughout the city before a few % of taxes are making or breaking a location choice!
acm
Cutting taxes, neither inherently bad or a complete solution
I found Ben's piece a far better piece of rhetoric than Nutter's response but I'm not sure that a few paragraphs in a newspaper really capture the essence of the debate underlying arguments about tax reform. Our city’s economy needs to be transformed. Reforming, reorganizing—or however you want to characterize it—drastically changing how Philadelphia city government functions is a necessary next step to make Philadelphia a better place.
I thought there were flaws in the editorials--if I can oversimplify for a minute--between Ben's belief that tax reform is somehow inherently bad and in Nutter's case that it'll promote substantial economic growth.
Ben writes that “[s]uch a large tax cut will have a drastic impact on the city budget” without stating how large a cut Nutter proposes. Philadelphia’s annual budget is 1.2 billion dollars. If you can’t find a few tens of millions of dollars in inefficiencies, it means that you simply aren’t trying very hard.
Then Ben cites the revitalization of West Oaklane as an example of what happens when resources are committing to improving a neighborhood. The point of citing the revitalization is to suggest that similar tactics instead of tax reform could be applied throughout Philadelphia to improve our city. There is some truth to that I suppose. Yet, I'd actually ask, other than the physical improvements that are observable along Ogontz Avenue, what has been the affect of the investments. How many jobs have been created and how has neighborhood income levels changed? Creating jobs from the bottom up—because of the work of a CDC--is rare and practically unheard off. Nonprofits have a terrible record when it comes to economic development. Such criticism is unpopular with political leaders who like to pretend their pet CDC is changing the world. Generally speaking, this is no good data in similar neighborhoods across the country that suggests a few million dollars worth of social services and some streetscaping improvements substantially change the social and economic dynamics or prospects of a neighborhood. West Oaklane actually has a decent working and middle class so by no means am I suggesting that it’s not a decent place to live even if it could be improved.
While Nutter's embrace of tax cuts may not fundamentally transform Philadelphia’s economy by themselves, they'd send a clear message that the status quo as a place to do business is not acceptable. Many of Nutter's good government initiatives from the ethics bills to his work on the convention center are the types of policies that would enhance Philadelphia’s ability to compete. Enacting even small tax cuts would be a worthwhile beginning. What really matters, however, isn’t who can play BFF to big business or who can call out that the boogiemen are our to get the poor people but which Mayoral candidate can articulate a vision that offers something other than the status quo.
John Street funded NTI and has preserved lots of city jobs. What did the city get? … Half billion in addition debt and enormous pension liabilities for individuals the city employs. While Michael Nutter has flaws—and the property tax cap sounds like one—I personally think that all of the other candidates are basically offering to be Frank Rizzo-lite or Wilson Goode-lite—and Philadelphia deserves better. We don't need another average mayor.
That old tax-cutting magic
Good work again, Ben. Here are just a few points responding to those of you who still agree with Nutter.
First: The so-called "Tax Reform Commission" should never be cited as a source validating the need for business tax cuts. The Commission was set up for the sole purpose of developing a business-oriented tax cut agenda, and its membership reflected that purpose. There was not one representative of labor, nor of grass-roots community groups on the Commission, except for Jonathan Stein of Community Legal Services. Stein dissented from the Commission's findings and has been one of the strongest campaigners against all of Nutter's business tax cut proposals.
Second: In Council's tax cut debates, Nutter sided completely with those who argued that we should not worry in the least about loss of services because of the supply side benefit of BPT cuts. Yet he ridiculed the suggestion of Lance Haver to condition the tax cutting to the production of revenue or jobs. Nutter's bottom line: just believe. No different than the rhetoric coming from every Republican mouth for the last quarter century.
Third: Nutter didn't call for minor BPT cuts. He proposed that the whole BPT be eliminated, completely, both on the gross receipts and net profits side. The tax would be gone, hook, line and sinker. That would have cost the city not ten or so million, but well over $300 million a year after full repeal, or 15% of all the tax revenue raised by the city annually.
Nutter did propose to phase in the repeal over a period of 15 years, but there were no provisions to provide a halt if benchmarks weren't reached. So basically his idea was akin to cooking a lobster by turning up the heat slowly. The lobster, of course, winds up quite dead, no matter how slowly it gets cooked. The same would be true for City programs after they get cooked by Nutter's tax cut proposals.
I still disagree
I am as progressive as the next person, but I also am sensible enough to face reality.
I am more than willing to pay the wage tax and I am in favor of providing services to our most vulnerable citizens. That is one of the reasons I live in a major city.
But local government has to deal with a transient population that votes with their feet. The state and federal government do not have this problem. Our cities have to find ways to provide the most efficient services possible at a cost that is acceptable to millions of residents.
The wage tax has played a significant role in the mass exodus of population from our city. There is no "collusion" occurring in the business community to lower taxes. Why aren't you decrying the special business tax zones that lower taxes for only the favored few?
After several decades of the highest wage tax in the nation, Philadelphia needs to try something new. Lower the tax and see what happens.
Fed study
The Councilman's piece referenced Federal Reserve studies, among others, in defending his position. Anyone done the research on these? I did a quick look and found this 2001 article (http://www.phil.frb.org/files/reghigh/execsum.html) containing these two sentences next to each other -- though each deserve their own competing articles:
"The high tax burden in the city of Philadelphia deters job creation. The quality of public education in the city and the suburbs will be a major factor in attracting firms and jobs in the future."
As the Head Spins
I must admit, my head is spinning...I need a flow chart to follow this thread. I am confused as to why this all started as a Waxman critique of Nutter, but when Goode, Stier, Anastasio (all good guys in my view) talk about tax competitiveness and how the City needs to do more to be business friendly, there's no firestorm of controversy. As for Nutter, I'm confident that when he comes out with an economic plan, it won't be a one-liner that says "eliminate the BPT." I'm sure that it will be a multi-pronged plan with a number of strategies. As for Nutter's record, if folks would dig a little deeper, you'd see that during his legislative career he advanced a number of economic and job creation strategies such as local hiring preferences on city-funded projects, the creation of a business improvement district on City Avenue, lots of economic development in Parkside now coming to fruition, he's the head of the PA Convention Center (convention-related tourism contributes significantly to the local economy). So in terms of a record, there's a lot there.
A question for the policy wonks out there
Hi Everybody –
I’m new to the city, but I’m interested in politics and economic development. So, I’d like to ask a question – A lot of people talk about cutting the business privilege tax, the gross receipts tax and the wage tax, but I haven’t heard a particularly nuanced approach to any of these tax cuts yet. I’ve been keeping up with the tax issue in the Inquirer but I am by no means an expert on this issue, so please bear with me. But, for example, as everyone knows from filing their federal taxes, there are all kinds of exemptions, deductions, and tax credits to make sure that the tax system is, at least in theory, more equitable and to use taxes to influence social policy. Does Philadelphia have anything like this?
I’ll start with the gross receipts tax: a broad gross receipts tax cut sounds like it would help larger businesses that are already in the black more than it would really affect smaller businesses that may be taking in a good amount of revenue but still be in the red. Has there been a discussion about an exemption for businesses that have either, (a) been running for so short a time that they have not seen a profit yet, say 5 years; or (b) businesses that are not seeing a profit at all, no matter how long they have been running? Maybe there is one already in place that I don’t know about?
Likewise, for the wage tax – has there been a discussion about a tax credit for residents of the city who are either in school or paying back student loans, similar to the Hope or Lifetime Learning Credit? From what I’ve read, Philadelphia has some of the best schools in the country, and yet it is hemorrhaging talent. An educational credit would (1) provide incentive for talent to stay, and (2) provide an incentive for residents to learn a trade or skill. I am of course assuming the tax system allows for deductions and credits, but if it doesn't, couldn't or shouldn't it?
From reading about Nutter and the tax issue, it sounds like the former Councilman has some good ideas and some sound policy goals. However, you can't use slash and burn tactics on tax cuts so I'd like him to be more specific if possible. The goal is of course to collect taxes from those who can afford it while providing some breathing space for poorer residents and smaller and newer businesses while not totally eroding revenue collection. From what I can tell, the city has a lot of opportunities to use its tax policy to improve quality of life – for example credits for interest paid on home improvement loans, deductions for businesses staffed primarily with Philadelphia residents, etc…. (Again, I'm assuming the tax system here allows for credits and deductions).
But just from reading the Inky, most of the tax proposals I've heard seem overly broad – like the 10 year tax abatement going on for new developments, almost all of which are luxury homes. But what about the little guy? What about making the legislation more specific, like reserving those rebates for affordable housing?
OK, so now I’m starting to rant, but please, if anyone has any information that would help me understand the tax system here a little better, I would very much appreciate your input.
phila.gov
Go to the city's website (phila.gov)for two sources of information - the Philadelphia Code to directly read the local ordinances related to taxes and the city's Revenue Department page that has valuable information.
WWGjr
The Surplus is Cumulative
We do not have a $200 million surplus this year. The surplus figure that is usually quoted is a cumulative surplus. Street started with a much larger cumulative surplus and has been running it down although this year I believe we ran an annual suprlus. I don't have the city budget documents in front of me so I can't give you the figure. I'll be back in town next week and will look it up.
Volume III, Appendix G – kinda catchy we should put it to musi
MetroBlue, ACM (redfox1) makes excellent points below. I would only add that you should read appendix G of volume three of the report .
The absence of adequate controls for changes in the quality of life in Philadelphia (school system, crime..) in the study you favor make it impossible to know if the observed link between taxes and economic activity is because of taxes or because of a deterioration in the quality of life in the city. This is important because people in Philadelphia are more concerned about factors like crime and the school system than they are about taxes.
That said there does seem to be an elite consensus that the way forward is to reduce taxes on those most able to pay while avoiding reforms that would make the tax code less regressive. Distorting the tax base in this way means there is less capacity to support reforms that would actually reduce crime and poverty like universal pre-k, day-care, after-school programs and job training.
What about MINORITIES?????
There are good topics and lots of concerns in this city. The list can go on and on but you can't forget on big issue in this city, OUR PEOPLE!!! Mr. Nutter always brings up good points , taxes are always a important issue , put you can't forget our people. Our people are being forgotten on all levels, whether its in the jobs trying to be generated here, to City Hall , media only cares when violence hits the streets, Colleges that want to do business in the HOOD but aren't bringing nothing back to the place where they reside, its all over. We can't forget our people , we must find a way to appease our people , the real people in this city or we are just wasting our time. Comcast wants our money , but doesn't want to open up shop in our areas that need their attention and their money. More money for cops on the streets, but no money for education. This is not good math or good business sense , least not for the working -lower- poverty class. When is someone going to think about the people first, the one's that make this city run and flow. Flow some of that money in to the hands of the people that are starving on our streets. Thats like seeing homeless people living on WALL STREET. This is the financial capital of the world , but you can't clean whats going on around your area. City Hall for years as asked for people's votes without reciprocating the favor and this has to stop. Crime isn't going to go anywhere, the tax problem isn't going to go anywhere until we take care of our people. You can't water a tree without the roots, the heart of the city. Don't forget the people, next time anyone in here have a conversation about the city, never ever forget the people. Without the people, there is no city.
Junior Williams
http://mycityscapephilly.com/blog
In a Nutshell?
So Stan - the position you're articulating is basically, we shouldn't do tax reform because we can't afford it, but even if we could afford it, we should spend money on other things since there is no evidence that tax reform works, and even if you present evidence that tax reform works better than the other things we would spend money on, we still should avoid tax reform because Repubicans like tax reform and we don't like Republicans?
This isn’t a debate about p
This isn’t a debate about providing services for the poor or cutting taxes. I think that is a false choice. In reality, a strong investment in transit, schools, and other public infrastructure will pay dividends for all Philadelphians. I do not believe that our tax code (which needs to be reformed) is the major reason businesses are staying away from Philadelphia. Instead, I think that access to healthcare, public transportation and a good school system are the important things that can lure employers.
Here we go again
Ahh...return of the trajicomic and appropriately named Laffer Curve. Rather than repeating on the failing of the Tax Hawk Reaganites (and Clintonian Dems) with wholesale closers of local libraries, public services, after-school programs, et all, I implore progressives actively support "Ben-side Economics." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laffer_curve
Wrong - we do have a $202 million annual "surplus"
Actually, it's called a "fund balance" and all unspent money is reallocated in the budget and appropriation processes.
The "surplus" is a local media term referring to the fund balance and it is NEVER cumulative.
But how do you go from discussing a cumulative surplus to an annual surplus in the same sentence? Were there two different figures given? No.
And what was the annual fund balance from the year before Street took office? Maybe you should look it up!
WWGjr
Friedman in a nutshell –Ahh! Help I’m in a nutshell, no ligh
Friedman, wrote:
Friedman I’m taking issue with your last sentence. Here is Stan:
Whether or not you agree with the parallel Stan is drawing between the local and national tax debate (and I do) there is no way you can get from what Stan wrote to the naive argument that tax cutting is disliked because of its association with a particular party. The actual argument is plan on its face, policy making should be rooted in reality. Budget projections shouldn’t be based on magical thinking and if your projections indeed turnout to be wrong your policy should change to reflect that. Friedman how do you connect to the web from your nutshell, wireless?
The fund balance is the cumul
The fund balance is the cumulative surplus/deficit the city has run. In the city budget documents it clearly differentiated from the operating surplus / deficit. Anyone can check this by downloading budget documents from
http://www.phila.gov/reports/index.html (Unfortunately they are not always the most up to date documents. I will get the up to date reports when I get back to Philly next week.)
If you download the budget in brief document and go to page 20 you will see two separate lines, opertaing surplus / deficit (line 21) and fund balance available for appropriation (line 31).
The August 15 Quarterly City Manager's report state that “Preliminary estimates show that the City will end FY 2006 with a $105.4 million operating surplus…bringing the projected year-end fund balance to $201.4 million”.
When newspaper reports talk about the surplus most of the time they are NOT talking about what the Federal government calls the annual surplus / deficit, which Philadelphia calls the operating surplus. They are talking about the fund balance, which the Feds call the Federal debt. And thus there is no annual surplus or operating surplus of 200 million. It was 105 million.
The FY 2000 fund balance was 295 million. The city changed its accounting rules the next year. The accounting change led to a one time 60 million restatement. So the Mayor started with roughly a 235 million fund balance. Since the projected fund balance at the end of FY 2006 ws 201 milion, over the course of the Street administration, the operating budget has been slightly in the red.
So the city is certainly not flush with money. In fact, we have been making payments to the various pension funds that are too low to insure that obligations to our retirees and future retirees are met. And health care costs continue to go up. The city has a contractual agreement with DC 47 and, I believe, DC 33 to reopen negotiations about city contributions to the health care funds run by the two unions.
From the Walnut
Well, Stan mentions Republicans alot when he talks about Philadelphia tax competitiveness so I made the connection. I completely agree with you that "budget projections shouldn't be based on magical thinking and if your projections indeed turnout to be wrong your policy should change to reflect that." We're definitely on the same page there.
A Positive Fund Balance equals Operating Surplus PLUS
A Positive Fund Balance can mean an Operating Surplus PLUS Unanticipated Revenues.
It's all appropriated and reappropriated on an annual budgeting basis in the context of the 5 year financial plan.
How can we have both a "cumulative surplus" and "over the course of the Street administration, the operating budget has been slightly in the red" ? Your words.
WWGjr
The Math
Rendell left Street with a fund balance (that is a cumulative surplus) of about 230 million. Tbrough FY 2006, the Street administration has run a cumulative deficit of about 30 million. So the fund balance at the end of FY 2006 is about 200 million.
If I'm wrong about this then I'll buy you dinner at your favorite restaurant in the 4th district.
The MATH and the dinner pose an ethical problem for me!
Your offer to buy dinner poses an ethical problem for me on at least three different levels - 1) I support a ban on free meals for City officials; 2)I represent the entire city and I can't give dining preference to any district; and 3) I do not support gaming (even for dinner) in the 4th council district. :)
Back to the debate -
If the adjusted FY2000 fund balance was about $230m and the FY2006 fund balance is about $200m, and despite whether you initially referred to the FY2006 fund balance as a "cumulative surplus" and now call it a "cumulative deficit", is the difference more attributable to Rendell vs. Street or Clinton vs. Bush?!
Look at the impact of federal and state cutbacks, worsening economy, rising healthcare, pension and energy costs, etc. under Bush - along with the most aggressive local tax cuts in history.
And you actually took that shot at Street for only having a $202m fund balance?! What game are you playing?
WWGjr
Solution
How about this? If Councilman Goode is correct, Mark can buy me dinner in the 4th while I listen to this in person.
snarky comment of the week
If there is an avid reader of this blog who doesn't really post, you should volunteer to pick a "Clever Comment of the Week" and post it up on here from the blog's annals. I think Councilman Goode's "I don't support gaming (even for dinner) in the 4th District" would definitely get a nomination for this week. Ha!
---
BradyDale OnLine
Does PICA allow "cumulative deficits"? No.
My point is that the $202m figure just released by the Street administration is the end of fiscal year fund balance for FY2006 - an annual amount now available for appropriation - unless we create a rainy day fund. The money has to be appropriated as part of an annual budget process - but,no,it does not have to be spent. Yes, the Street administration will try to hide some money for the future by underestimating revenue in the budget process. If that is what Marc is trying to say, he should have said it. The administration couldn't have closed recreation centers and fire stations with a "cumulative surplus".
The fund balance should always be distinguished from the operating surplus for many reasons - and, for the record, PICA doesn't allow "cumulative deficits" and frowns on negative fund balances even if the 5 year financial plan is balanced.
The fund balance goes up and down also due to market conditions and unique circumstances - rising healthcare and pension costs, lower pension investment earnings - and little things like investments in hosting the 2000 Republican National Convention, the 2005 Live8 Concert - plus, of course, the Safe Streets Initiative which some people want to point to as Street squandering the money that Rendell left him.
So a $202m fund balance in FY2006 is positive - and IF there were a need for a fair comparison to the FY2000 fund balance - wouldn't you compare it to the FY2008 fund balance?
By the way, Street was mayor for half of FY2000. And as a first year freshman councilman at-large in FY2000, isn't part of that fund balance mine too? Just joking. :)
Marc should buy somebody dinner for not giving me some credit for both the FY2000 and FY2006 fund balances. :)
Say it - F-U-N-D B-A-L-A-N-C-E - FUND BALANCE, not "cumulative surplus".
WWGjr
Balances and Taxes
I don't know how John Street's record as Mayor got into this debate. I wasn't criticizing the Mayor. Nor was I criticizing you, Councilman.
I'd like to see the City spend money on things it does not spend money on and raise that money from a different set of taxes. But while Street hides operating surpluses so as to force the Council to adopt his priorites (like cutting the Cohen Wage Tax rebate, which Councilman Goode opposed), hiding surpluses is at least better than hiding deficits. John Street has been concerned about not putting the city in a bad fiscal position in out years, which is the main reason he doesn't want to cut taxes more than already planned.
The issue that got this debate started was how much money is available for cutting taxes.
One would expect that a city with a large operating surplus this year would be more likely to have a large operating surplus next year, assuming that the operating surplus was a reflection of continuing trends in spending, revenues, aid from the Feds, pension and health costs, etc. (And I know all these things change. In fact I argued above that many costs are rising such as for pensions and health care.)
At any rate, our operating surplus this year was not 200 million but 100 million. So, all other things equal, we have less room for cutting taxes than the tax cutters would like.
We can spend the fund balance. But once we spend it, it is gone. It is like spending money you have saved as opposed to spending money that comes in every year. I think we should be saving some of it in a rainy day fund so that the city does not have to cut services the next time we have a recession.
At this point, I'm not sure we are disagreeing except that for some reason you don't like the notion that the fund balance is a cumulative surplus. But since it arises due to surpluses in the operating budget, money that is unspent, as well as changes in the value of the city's holding, I don't see why it is not a cumulative surplus.
As for dinner, I didn't consider my offer to be gambling. It was a sure thing. Nor am I concernend about where we eat. I have been having dinner everywhere in the city for the last few years. I just thought you might like to get to know the 4th district even better than you do now. And, of course, we both live in the 4th district so that would be convenient. But I did forget about the ethics laws and that would be a problem. So can split the check for us and Caietanus.
The "Savings" Analogy is Flawed!
Marc wrote: "We can spend the fund balance. But once we spend it, it is gone. It is like spending money you have saved as opposed to spending money that comes in every year." Wrong!
The fund balance is not just "savings" from an operating budget but "new income" from unanticipated revenue such as real estate transfer tax and business privilege tax revenue growth. That "new income" is money that very well may come in every year and some.
So we have come full circle. The $202m is the fund balance at the end of FY2006 that also comes from unanticipated revenue, not just an operating surplus.
Many would argue that some of the unanticipated revenue should go into a Rainy Day fund, I agree. Many would argue that some of the unanticipated revenue should also go toward business tax reform, I also agree with that. None of which has anything to do with an operating surplus.
There is an argument to be made that the positive fund balance is due in part to economic growth and that it should be reinvested, in part, in economic growth. Business privilege tax revenue has been steadily increasing despite rate reductions.
So, once again, the $202m fund balance is not simply cumulative operating surpluses - in fact, look back and you'll see it fluctuated over the years due to national economic recession and local economic growth - not just budget surpluses.
WWGjr
Isn't it raining now?
I keep hearing about surplus , unanticipated revenue, whatever you want to call it. You can give it whatever kind of name you want, its still money. The real question is what does this money that has funny names do for this city and what does this mean for the constituents of this city. You have to break it down for the people that aren't as educated as Mr. Marc and Councilman Goode. Can we use this money or not. What can this money do to help our fair city get back on its feet. What can this money do to help the families of this city, help with our current violence situation. What can this money do for bringing jobs to people that really need it. What about our environmental issues, where does it fit in that. We can go on and on about what to call the money now in city possession , but we can't dance around these issues any longer. Who's willing to talk?
Junior Williams
http://mycityscapephilly.com/blog
My Last Post on this Issue
The Managing Director's August 15 report specifically says that unanticipated revenues have increaseed the operating surplus for this fiscal year, thus leading to a larger fund balance. Do some unanticipated revenues flow directly into the fund balance without passing go and collecting 200 and adding to the operating surplus? This government is so screwy that I wouldn't rule out the possibility. But I can't find it in the budget documents I have seen.
The real question, as Junior Williams, points out, is how much money is available and what should we do with it?
My view is that the needs of the city--for community based economic development programs that create neighborhood owned business and jobs, for more police, for better schools, for intensive support for at-risk youth, for after-school programs--are so great and the long term threat to the city's fiscal health is so great--because of pension and health care costs and federal cutbacks--that we can't afford to just cut taxes.
I am for tax reform. I think the BPT is for, reasons I won't go into here, a bad tax both because it undermines economic growth and because it is regressive. I think we should cut it steeply and eventually eliminate it. But I don't think we can count on an immediate increase in revenues to replace those lost when the BPT is cut. For reasons I have discussed on my blog and will address in more detail soon (www.stier.net/blog) all the studies of the economic impact of the BPT overstate the short term benefit of cutting it. So we need to increase other taxes in the short term.
In the long term, we can cut taxes and spend more if we reduce corruption and waste, and if we get some of the economic benefits of new spending on community economic development strategies and cutting the taxes that do undermine economic growth.
By the way, the worst approach to cutting taxes, I think, is the one Councilmen Nutter and Goode (and others) have supported, a very slow decline in the BPT. If we want economic benfits from cutting the BPT, we would be better off doing it more quickly and deeply while coupling those cuts with significant new investment in commerical corridors, new capital for small businesses as well as radical improvements in our transit system. But we need to increase other taxes in the short term to pay for this. The Nutter-Goode approach is politically easy, but it is not good economics. Our economy is really suffering. We need dramatic action, a real change in direction, not just a drip-drip-drip of small reductions in the BPT every year for the next twenty years. However that kind of rediercton of public policy requires more political courage and leadership than we typically find in City Hall.
The Nutter-Goode Approach?! That's pathetic, Marc.
You are trying every trick that you can - but it won't work.
I have my own bill pending that eliminates the gross receipts portion of the business privilege tax over five years. So, no, I'm not taking the Nutter-Tax Reform Commission long-term approach.
AND... this fall we will consider measures related to employment opportunities for ex-offenders to deal with the root cause of crime and violence, a local small business loan guarantee fund targeted to disadvantaged neighborhoods, a charter change to boost city contract opportunities for minorities and women, the economic self-sufficiency standard for Philadelphia and the local minimum wage standard, a bond issue for neighborhood commercial corridors, etc.. due to my legislative advocacy.
So pathetic linkings of me to Nutter on tax reform issues won't work.
Try again.
WWGjr
Your Approach is Certainly Nutter Plus
Perhaps I'm mistaken, but you have voted for the slow reductions in the BPT that Michael Nutter has championed, havent' you? I wouldn't have done that, not at least without trying to get deeper but revenue-neutral reductions in both parts of the BPT. I do look forward to your your introducing legislation to cut the gross receipts tax more quickly. It would be even better if you add some contingency plan to maintain city revenues, in case eliminating the gross receipts tax doesn't kick off economic growth as quickly as we hope.
You have been a champion of a broader approach to economic development than we have seen from Councilman Nutter in recent years, which I've praised you for here and elsewhere. The other legislation you are talking about introducing would be in keeping with that that approach. (I'm not trying to pick a fight with you, Councilman, but to just point out ways in which my view of taxation policy is similar to and the ways in which it is different from your own..which is how this thread started, if I'm not mistaken.)
A program to provide small business loan guarantees is a great idea as is a bond issue for commercial corridors. I would like to see a revisved planning commission and CDCs play a role in administering both projects them so that they are part of comprehensive economic development plans for our distressed commerical corridors that would include, among other things, streetscape improvements, facade improvement grants, better transportation planning (so that, for example, we have day passes on commerical corridors as I have been proposing for the 23 bus in the Northwest) as well as new affordable housing and new money for housing repairs for the residential areas close to our business districts.
We have limited funds available for community based economic development strategies. We have to make sure they are spent well. Not all CDCs do this--and they have to be monitored. But if the city provides them with the support they need, I think they can be champions of economic growth, as we have seen in Mt. Airy in recent years.
We also need to do much more to increase contract opportunities for minorities and women. How do you propose to change the charter to do that? I have heard people talking about a variety of ways of improving our pretty poor record in this area. I'm not sure what would be the best approach.
One thing I would add is encouraging locally owned businesses, which in many neighborhoods would mean creating more minority and women owned businesses. Locally owned businesses contribute to their neighborhoods in many ways: They return profits to the community. They support local community groups and civic associations. They support community projects such as baseball leagues. They hire locally. And so forth. Maybe one way (but not the only way) to insure more minority and women owned businesses is to attack this problem indirectly, by giving more support of the kinds we are talkign about to businesses owned by people who live in a particular neighborhood.
GOODE Gross Receipts Bill and the BPT Debate
I introduced the "gross receipts" bill in January 2004 on the same day that Nutter introduced the first Tax Reform Commission bills that included the elimination of the business privilege tax over a multi-year schedule. Hence, I've always had my own plan.
My bill was defeated by one vote (9-8) - the only Goode bill to fail in my tenure.
I reintroduced the bill two years ago in September 2004 and it was amended within committee last year. The existence of my bill is what has changed the business tax reform debate in City Council from total business tax elimination to only elimination of the gross receipts portion.
Furthermore, we passed a gross receipts cut offered by the administration this year because I personally lobbied the Mayor to offer an accelerated cut in the gross receipts portion as a Nutter alternative and then recommended to City Council leadership that they support the cut as part of the budget negotiation.
My approach has not been the same as Nutter's at all (as Mike and I have openly discussed) but I have provided support to Nutter bills that faced inevitable defeat in hope of support for an alternative approach.
I guess you missed all that while it was happening.
This back-and-forth is not meant to be a fight, and I didn't assume that you were trying to pick one - I'm just clarifying my record.
And for the record, I've already passed the charter change legislation and it will appear on the November ballot and the work around the bond issue for neighborhood commercial corridors as you suggested is pretty much done as well.
WWGjr